Friday, April 18, 2008

Four days to PA Primary

Latest PA polls:

Rasmussen: Clinton 47, Obama 44.

Zogby: Clinton 47, Obama 43.

Both are tracking polls of likely voters and both are within the margin of error.

Guess the debate Wednesday night, where the ABC assholes and Clinton ganged up on Obama, backfired. Obama, who got some flashback from the "bitter" comments may have actually latched onto what the actual sentiments in a mostly rural state. At this point, I'm not sure if Obama can pull off an upset, but the trendlines indicate a very close result on Tuesday barring another Tonya Harding whackjob.

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1 comment:

Steve V said...

I'm not a big fan of Zogby, but yesterday he had the gap at 1 point, so you could argue the full post-debate polling is trending down. On the other hand, Ras had Clinton up 9 points three days ago, so that tends to cancel out that argument.

I think what is really going on here, Obama is outspending Clinton 4 to 1 in Pennsylvania ads, not to mention flyers and such. That is a MASSIVE advantage, by any measure, so we really shouldn't be surprised that the gap has narrowed. It will all come down to GOTV.